Fire AggroTier 1
at 淡水 貓腳印 DTR 店家冠軍賽
decks
2
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
6-2-1
overall winrate
72.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
65.4%
avg ELO +7.1 per match
expected value
56.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1395
· median 1395
· range 1320–1471
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1148
Q1 1301
Q3 1418
1536
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 25.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
| Fire Rile | 16.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.6 |
| Water Allies | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.3% | +22.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 8.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.5% | -2.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
